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18 pages, 5840 KiB  
Review
Accumulated Copper Tailing Solid Wastes with Specific Compositions Encourage Advances in Microbial Leaching
by Juan Zhang, Xiaojun Liu, Xinyue Du, Xin Wang, Yifan Zeng and Shukai Fan
Minerals 2024, 14(10), 1051; https://doi.org/10.3390/min14101051 (registering DOI) - 20 Oct 2024
Abstract
Against the backdrop of the increasing copper demand in a low-carbon economy, this work statistically forecasted the distribution of China’s copper tailings for the first time, and then characterized them as finely crushed and low-grade mining solid wastes containing copper mainly in the [...] Read more.
Against the backdrop of the increasing copper demand in a low-carbon economy, this work statistically forecasted the distribution of China’s copper tailings for the first time, and then characterized them as finely crushed and low-grade mining solid wastes containing copper mainly in the form of chalcopyrite, bornite, covelline, enargite and chalcocite based on available research data. China is the globally leading refined copper producer and consumer, where the typical commercial-scale bioleaching of copper tailings is conducted in the Dexing, Zijinshan and Jinchuan mining regions. And these leaching processes were compared in this study. Widely used chemolithoautotrophic and mesophilic bacteria are Acidithiobacillus, Leptospirillum, Acidiphilium, Alicyclobacillus and Thiobacillus with varied metal resistance. They can be used to treat copper sulfide tailings such as pyrite, chalcopyrite, enargite, chalcocite, bornite and covellite under sufficient dissolved oxygen from 1.5 to 4.1 mg/L and pH values ranging from 0.5 to 7.2. Moderate thermophiles (Acidithiobacillus caldus, Acidimicrobium, Acidiplasma, Ferroplasma and Sulfobacillus) and extreme thermophilic archaea (Acidianus, Metallosphaera, Sulfurococcus and Sulfolobus) are dominant in leaching systems with operating temperatures higher than 40 °C. However, these species are vulnerable to high pulp density and heavy metals. Heterotrophic Acidiphilium multivorum, Ferrimicrobium, Thermoplasma and fungi use organic carbon as energy to treat copper oxides (malachite, chrysocolla and azurite) and weathered sulfides (bornite, chalcocite, digenite and covellite) under a wide pH range and high pulp density. We also compared autotrophs in a planktonic state or biofilm to treat different metal sulfides using various sulfur-cycling enzymes involved in the polysulfide or thiosulfate pathways against fungi that produce various organic acids to chelate copper from oxides. Finally, we recommended a bioinformatic analysis of functional genes involved in Fe/S oxidization and C/N metabolism, as well as advanced representation that can create new possibilities for the development of high-efficiency leaching microorganisms and insight into the mechanisms of bioleaching desired metals from complex and low-grade copper tailings. Full article
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21 pages, 19359 KiB  
Article
Landslide Hazard Prediction Based on UAV Remote Sensing and Discrete Element Model Simulation—Case from the Zhuangguoyu Landslide in Northern China
by Guangming Li, Yu Zhang, Yuhua Zhang, Zizheng Guo, Yuanbo Liu, Xinyong Zhou, Zhanxu Guo, Wei Guo, Lihang Wan, Liang Duan, Hao Luo and Jun He
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(20), 3887; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16203887 (registering DOI) - 19 Oct 2024
Abstract
Rainfall-triggered landslides generally pose a high risk due to their sudden initiation, massive impact force, and energy. It is, therefore, necessary to perform accurate and timely hazard prediction for these landslides. Most studies have focused on the hazard assessment and verification of landslides [...] Read more.
Rainfall-triggered landslides generally pose a high risk due to their sudden initiation, massive impact force, and energy. It is, therefore, necessary to perform accurate and timely hazard prediction for these landslides. Most studies have focused on the hazard assessment and verification of landslides that have occurred, which were essentially back-analyses rather than predictions. To overcome this drawback, a framework aimed at forecasting landslide hazards by combining UAV remote sensing and numerical simulation was proposed in this study. A slow-moving landslide identified by SBAS-InSAR in Tianjin city of northern China was taken as a case study to clarify its application. A UAV with laser scanning techniques was utilized to obtain high-resolution topography data. Then, extreme rainfall with a given return period was determined based on the Gumbel distribution. The Particle Flow Code (PFC), a discrete element model, was also applied to simulate the runout process after slope failure under rainfall and earthquake scenarios. The results showed that the extreme rainfall for three continuous days in the study area was 151.5 mm (P = 5%), 184.6 mm (P = 2%), and 209.3 mm (P = 1%), respectively. Both extreme rainfall and earthquake scenarios could induce slope failure, and the failure probabilities revealed by a seepage–mechanic interaction simulation in Geostudio reached 82.9% (earthquake scenario) and 92.5% (extreme rainfall). The landslide hazard under a given scenario was assessed by kinetic indicators during the PFC simulation. The landslide runout analysis indicated that the landslide had a velocity of max 23.4 m/s under rainfall scenarios, whereas this reached 19.8 m/s under earthquake scenarios. In addition, a comparison regarding particle displacement also showed that the landslide hazard under rainfall scenarios was worse than that under earthquake scenarios. The modeling strategy incorporated spatial and temporal probabilities and runout hazard analyses, even though landslide hazard mapping was not actually achieved. The present framework can predict the areas threatened by landslides under specific scenarios, and holds substantial scientific reference value for effective landslide prevention and control strategies. Full article
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20 pages, 3602 KiB  
Article
Machine Learning for Optimising Renewable Energy and Grid Efficiency
by Bankole I. Oladapo, Mattew A. Olawumi and Francis T. Omigbodun
Atmosphere 2024, 15(10), 1250; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15101250 (registering DOI) - 19 Oct 2024
Abstract
This research investigates the application of machine learning models to optimise renewable energy systems and contribute to achieving Net Zero emissions targets. The primary objective is to evaluate how machine learning can improve energy forecasting, grid management, and storage optimisation, thereby enhancing the [...] Read more.
This research investigates the application of machine learning models to optimise renewable energy systems and contribute to achieving Net Zero emissions targets. The primary objective is to evaluate how machine learning can improve energy forecasting, grid management, and storage optimisation, thereby enhancing the reliability and efficiency of renewable energy sources. The methodology involved the application of various machine learning models, including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Random Forest, Support Vector Machines (SVMs), and ARIMA, to predict energy generation and demand patterns. These models were evaluated using metrics such as Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE). Key findings include a 15% improvement in grid efficiency after optimisation and a 10–20% increase in battery storage efficiency. Random Forest achieved the lowest MAE, reducing prediction error by approximately 8.5%. The study quantified CO2 emission reductions by energy source, with wind power accounting for a 15,000-ton annual reduction, followed by hydropower and solar reducing emissions by 10,000 and 7500 tons, respectively. The research concludes that machine learning can significantly enhance renewable energy system performance, with measurable reductions in errors and emissions. These improvements could help close the “ambition gap” by 20%, supporting global efforts to meet the 1.5 °C Paris Agreement targets. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Air Quality and Energy Transition: Interactions and Impacts)
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17 pages, 4335 KiB  
Article
Forecasting Electricity Consumption Using Function Fitting Artificial Neural Networks and Regression Methods
by Andr� Gifalli, Haroldo Luiz Moretti do Amaral, Alfredo Bonini Neto, Andr� Nunes de Souza, Andr� von Fr�hauf Hublard, Jo�o Carlos Carneiro and Floriano Torres Neto
Appl. Syst. Innov. 2024, 7(5), 100; https://doi.org/10.3390/asi7050100 (registering DOI) - 18 Oct 2024
Viewed by 177
Abstract
With the growth of smart grids, consumers now have access to new technologies that enable improvements in the quality of service provided and allow new levels of energy efficiency. Much of this increase in energy efficiency is directly related to changes in consumption [...] Read more.
With the growth of smart grids, consumers now have access to new technologies that enable improvements in the quality of service provided and allow new levels of energy efficiency. Much of this increase in energy efficiency is directly related to changes in consumption habits due to the quantity and quality of information made available by new technologies. At this point, short-term consumption forecasting can be considered an effective information tool in the search for better consumption patterns and energy efficiency. This paper presents prediction tests combining the result obtained from an artificial neural network and regression methods. The artificial neural network used was the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), and its results were compared with polynomial regression techniques (first, second, and third degree), demonstrating the superiority of the network. The neural network has proven to be a highly effective tool for forecasting future data, demonstrating its ability to capture complex patterns in input data and produce accurate estimates. Additionally, the flexibility of neural networks in handling large volumes of data and their continuous adjustment capability further enhance their suitability as a robust tool for future predictions. The results corroborate the capacity of the methodology presented for short-term consumption forecasting. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Artificial Intelligence)
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15 pages, 1018 KiB  
Article
Recurrence Multilinear Regression Technique for Improving Accuracy of Energy Prediction in Power Systems
by Quota Alief Sias, Rahma Gantassi, Yonghoon Choi and Jeong Hwan Bae
Energies 2024, 17(20), 5186; https://doi.org/10.3390/en17205186 - 18 Oct 2024
Viewed by 230
Abstract
This paper demonstrates how artificial intelligence can be implemented in order to predict the energy needs of daily households using both multilinear regression (MLR) and single linear regression (SLR) methods. As a basic implementation, the SLR makes use of one input variable, which [...] Read more.
This paper demonstrates how artificial intelligence can be implemented in order to predict the energy needs of daily households using both multilinear regression (MLR) and single linear regression (SLR) methods. As a basic implementation, the SLR makes use of one input variable, which is the total amount of energy generated as an input. The MLR implementation involves multiple input variables being taken from various energy sources, including gas, coal, geothermal, wind, water, biomass, oil, etc. All of these variables are derived from detailed energy production data from the various energy sources. The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate that it is possible to analyze energy demand and supply directly together as a way to produce a more in-depth analysis. By analyzing energy production data from previous periods of time, a prediction of energy demand can be made. Compared to the SLR implementation, the MLR implementation is found to perform better because it is able to achieve a smaller error value. Furthermore, the forecasting pattern is carried out sequentially based on a periodic pattern, so this paper calls this method the recurrence multilinear regression (RMLR) method. This paper also creates a pre-clustering using the K-Means algorithm before the energy prediction to improve accuracy. Other models such as exponential GPR, sequential XGBoost, and seq2seq LSTM are used for comparison. The prediction results are evaluated by calculating the MAE, RMSE, MAPE, MAPA, and time execution for all models. The simulation results show that the fastest and best model that obtains the smallest error (3.4%) is the RMLR clustered using a weekly pattern period. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section F: Electrical Engineering)
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14 pages, 2216 KiB  
Article
Autoencoder-Driven Training Data Selection Based on Hidden Features for Improved Accuracy of ANN Short-Term Load Forecasting in ADMS
by Zoran Pajić, Zoran Janković and Aleksandar Selakov
Energies 2024, 17(20), 5183; https://doi.org/10.3390/en17205183 - 17 Oct 2024
Viewed by 419
Abstract
This paper presents a novel methodology for short-term load forecasting in the context of significant shifts in the daily load curve due to the rapid and extensive adoption of Distributed Energy Resources (DERs). The proposed solution, built upon the Similar Days Method (SDM) [...] Read more.
This paper presents a novel methodology for short-term load forecasting in the context of significant shifts in the daily load curve due to the rapid and extensive adoption of Distributed Energy Resources (DERs). The proposed solution, built upon the Similar Days Method (SDM) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN), introduces several novelties: (1) selection of similar days based on hidden representations of day data using Autoencoder (AE); (2) enhancement of model generalization by utilizing a broader set of training examples; (3) incorporating the relative importance of training examples derived from the similarity measure during training; and (4) mitigation of the influence of outliers by applying an ensemble of ANN models trained with different data splits. The presented AE configuration and procedure for selecting similar days generated a higher-quality training dataset, which led to more robust predictions by the ANN model for days with unexpected deviations. Experiments were conducted on actual load data from a Serbian electrical power system, and the results were compared to predictions obtained by the field-proven STLF tool. The experiments demonstrated an improved performance of the presented solution on test days when the existing STLF tool had poor predictions over the past year. Full article
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16 pages, 4482 KiB  
Article
Multiple Load Forecasting of Integrated Renewable Energy System Based on TCN-FECAM-Informer
by Mingxiang Li, Tianyi Zhang, Haizhu Yang and Kun Liu
Energies 2024, 17(20), 5181; https://doi.org/10.3390/en17205181 - 17 Oct 2024
Viewed by 236
Abstract
In order to solve the problem of complex coupling characteristics between multivariate load sequences and the difficulty in accurate multiple load forecasting for integrated renewable energy systems (IRESs), which include low-carbon emission renewable energy sources, in this paper, the TCN-FECAM-Informer multivariate load forecasting [...] Read more.
In order to solve the problem of complex coupling characteristics between multivariate load sequences and the difficulty in accurate multiple load forecasting for integrated renewable energy systems (IRESs), which include low-carbon emission renewable energy sources, in this paper, the TCN-FECAM-Informer multivariate load forecasting model is proposed. First, the maximum information coefficient (MIC) is used to correlate the multivariate loads with the weather factors to filter the appropriate features. Then, effective information of the screened features is extracted and the frequency sequence is constructed using the frequency-enhanced channel attention mechanism (FECAM)-improved temporal convolutional network (TCN). Finally, the processed feature sequences are sent to the Informer network for multivariate load forecasting. Experiments are conducted with measured load data from the IRES of Arizona State University, and the experimental results show that the TCN and FECAM can greatly improve the multivariate load prediction accuracy and, at the same time, demonstrate the superiority of the Informer network, which is dominated by the attentional mechanism, compared with recurrent neural networks in multivariate load prediction. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advancements in the Integrated Energy System and Its Policy)
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23 pages, 3240 KiB  
Article
Development of the Separation Column’s Temperature Field Monitoring System
by Tatyana Kukharova, Alexander Martirosyan, Mir-Amal Asadulagi and Yury Ilyushin
Energies 2024, 17(20), 5175; https://doi.org/10.3390/en17205175 - 17 Oct 2024
Viewed by 260
Abstract
Oil is one of the main resources used by all countries in the world. The ever-growing demand for oil and oil products forces oil companies to increase production and refining. In order to increase net profit, oil producing companies are constantly upgrading equipment, [...] Read more.
Oil is one of the main resources used by all countries in the world. The ever-growing demand for oil and oil products forces oil companies to increase production and refining. In order to increase net profit, oil producing companies are constantly upgrading equipment, improving oil production technologies, and preparing oil for further processing. When considering the elements of primary oil refining in difficult conditions, such as hard-to-reach or in remote locations, developers face strict limitations in energy resources and dimensions. Therefore, the use of traditional systems causes a number of difficulties, significantly reducing production efficiency. In this study, the authors solve the problem of improving the characteristics of the oil separation process. In their work, the authors analyzed the separation columns of primary oil distillation, identified the shortcomings of the technological process, and searched for technological solutions. Having identified the lack of technical solutions for monitoring the state of the temperature field of the separation column, the authors developed their own hardware–software complex for monitoring the separation column (RF patents No. 2020665473, No. 2021662752 were received). The complex was tested and successfully implemented into production. The study provides an assessment of the economic efficiency of implementation for a year and a forecast of the economic effect for 10 years. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section K: State-of-the-Art Energy Related Technologies)
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22 pages, 4837 KiB  
Article
A Machine Learning Approach to Forecasting Hydropower Generation
by Sarah Di Grande, Mariaelena Berlotti, Salvatore Cavalieri and Roberto Gueli
Energies 2024, 17(20), 5163; https://doi.org/10.3390/en17205163 - 17 Oct 2024
Viewed by 227
Abstract
In light of challenges like climate change, pollution, and depletion of fossil fuel reserves, governments and businesses prioritize renewable energy sources such as solar, wind, and hydroelectric power. Renewable energy forecasting models play a crucial role for energy market operators and prosumers, aiding [...] Read more.
In light of challenges like climate change, pollution, and depletion of fossil fuel reserves, governments and businesses prioritize renewable energy sources such as solar, wind, and hydroelectric power. Renewable energy forecasting models play a crucial role for energy market operators and prosumers, aiding in planning, decision-making, optimization of energy sales, and evaluation of investments. This study aimed to develop machine learning models for hydropower forecasting in plants integrated into Water Distribution Systems, where energy is generated from water flow used for municipal water supply. The study involved developing and comparing monthly and two-week forecasting models, utilizing both one-step-ahead and two-step-ahead forecasting methodologies, along with different missing data imputation techniques. The tested algorithms—Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average, Random Forest, Temporal Convolutional Network, and Neural Basis Expansion Analysis for Time Series—produced varying levels of performance. The Random Forest model proved to be the most effective for monthly forecasting, while the Temporal Convolutional Network delivered the best results for two-week forecasting. Across all scenarios, the seasonal–trend decomposition using the LOESS technique emerged as the most successful for missing data imputation. The accurate predictions obtained demonstrate the effectiveness of using these models for energy planning and decision-making. Full article
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23 pages, 5439 KiB  
Article
AMTCN: An Attention-Based Multivariate Temporal Convolutional Network for Electricity Consumption Prediction
by Wei Zhang, Jiaxuan Liu, Wendi Deng, Siyu Tang, Fan Yang, Ying Han, Min Liu and Renzhuo Wan
Electronics 2024, 13(20), 4080; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics13204080 - 17 Oct 2024
Viewed by 274
Abstract
Accurate prediction of electricity consumption is crucial for energy management and allocation. This study introduces a novel approach, named Attention-based Multivariate Temporal Convolutional Network (AMTCN), for electricity consumption forecasting by integrating attention mechanisms with multivariate temporal convolutional networks. The method involves feature extraction [...] Read more.
Accurate prediction of electricity consumption is crucial for energy management and allocation. This study introduces a novel approach, named Attention-based Multivariate Temporal Convolutional Network (AMTCN), for electricity consumption forecasting by integrating attention mechanisms with multivariate temporal convolutional networks. The method involves feature extraction from diverse time series of different feature variables using dilated convolutional networks. Subsequently, attention mechanisms are employed to capture the correlation and contextually important information among various features, thereby enhancing the model’s predictive accuracy. The AMTCN method exhibits universality, making it applicable to various prediction tasks in different scenarios. Experimental evaluations are conducted on four distinct datasets, encompassing electricity consumption and weather temperature aspects. Comparative experiments with LSTM, ConvLSTM, GRU, and TCN—widely-used deep learning methods—demonstrate that our AMTCN model achieves significant improvements of 57% in MSE, 37% in MAE, 35% in RRSE, and 12% in CORR metrics, respectively. This research contributes a promising approach to accurate electricity consumption prediction, leveraging the synergy of attention mechanisms and multivariate temporal convolutional networks, with broad applicability in diverse forecasting scenarios. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Artificial Intelligence)
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25 pages, 39533 KiB  
Article
Identification of High-Photosynthetic-Efficiency Wheat Varieties Based on Multi-Source Remote Sensing from UAVs
by Weiyi Feng, Yubin Lan, Hongjian Zhao, Zhicheng Tang, Wenyu Peng, Hailong Che and Junke Zhu
Agronomy 2024, 14(10), 2389; https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy14102389 (registering DOI) - 16 Oct 2024
Viewed by 269
Abstract
Breeding high-photosynthetic-efficiency wheat varieties is a crucial link in safeguarding national food security. Traditional identification methods necessitate laborious on-site observation and measurement, consuming time and effort. Leveraging unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) remote sensing technology to forecast photosynthetic indices opens up the potential for [...] Read more.
Breeding high-photosynthetic-efficiency wheat varieties is a crucial link in safeguarding national food security. Traditional identification methods necessitate laborious on-site observation and measurement, consuming time and effort. Leveraging unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) remote sensing technology to forecast photosynthetic indices opens up the potential for swiftly discerning high-photosynthetic-efficiency wheat varieties. The objective of this research is to develop a multi-stage predictive model encompassing nine photosynthetic indicators at the field scale for wheat breeding. These indices include soil and plant analyzer development (SPAD), leaf area index (LAI), net photosynthetic rate (Pn), transpiration rate (Tr), intercellular CO2 concentration (Ci), stomatal conductance (Gsw), photochemical quantum efficiency (PhiPS2), PSII reaction center excitation energy capture efficiency (Fv’/Fm’), and photochemical quenching coefficient (qP). The ultimate goal is to differentiate high-photosynthetic-efficiency wheat varieties through model-based predictions. This research gathered red, green, and blue spectrum (RGB) and multispectral (MS) images of eleven wheat varieties at the stages of jointing, heading, flowering, and filling. Vegetation indices (VIs) and texture features (TFs) were extracted as input variables. Three machine learning regression models (Support Vector Machine Regression (SVR), Random Forest (RF), and BP Neural Network (BPNN)) were employed to construct predictive models for nine photosynthetic indices across multiple growth stages. Furthermore, the research conducted principal component analysis (PCA) and membership function analysis on the predicted values of the optimal models for each indicator, established a comprehensive evaluation index for high photosynthetic efficiency, and employed cluster analysis to screen the test materials. The cluster analysis categorized the eleven varieties into three groups, with SH06144 and Yannong 188 demonstrating higher photosynthetic efficiency. The moderately efficient group comprises Liangxing 19, SH05604, SH06085, Chaomai 777, SH05292, Jimai 22, and Guigu 820, totaling seven varieties. Xinmai 916 and Jinong 114 fall into the category of lower photosynthetic efficiency, aligning closely with the results of the clustering analysis based on actual measurements. The findings suggest that employing UAV-based multi-source remote sensing technology to identify wheat varieties with high photosynthetic efficiency is feasible. The study results provide a theoretical basis for winter wheat phenotypic monitoring at the breeding field scale using UAV-based multi-source remote sensing, offering valuable insights for the advancement of smart breeding practices for high-photosynthetic-efficiency wheat varieties. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Precision and Digital Agriculture)
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1 pages, 129 KiB  
Correction
Correction: Venkatesan, S.; Cho, Y. Multi-Timeframe Forecasting Using Deep Learning Models for Solar Energy Efficiency in Smart Agriculture. Energies 2024, 17, 4322
by Saravanakumar Venkatesan and Yongyun Cho
Energies 2024, 17(20), 5136; https://doi.org/10.3390/en17205136 (registering DOI) - 16 Oct 2024
Viewed by 185
Abstract
In the original publication [...] Full article
18 pages, 2209 KiB  
Article
Decoupled Model-Free Adaptive Control with Prediction Features Experimentally Applied to a Three-Tank System Following Time-Varying Trajectories
by Soheil Salighe, Nehal Trivedi, Fateme Bakhshande and Dirk Söffker
Automation 2024, 5(4), 527-544; https://doi.org/10.3390/automation5040030 - 15 Oct 2024
Viewed by 331
Abstract
In this paper, the performance of three model-free control approaches on a multi-input, multi-output (MIMO) nonlinear system with constant and time-varying references is compared. The first control algorithm is model-free adaptive control (MFAC). The second is a modified version of MFAC (MMFAC) designed [...] Read more.
In this paper, the performance of three model-free control approaches on a multi-input, multi-output (MIMO) nonlinear system with constant and time-varying references is compared. The first control algorithm is model-free adaptive control (MFAC). The second is a modified version of MFAC (MMFAC) designed to handle delays in the system by incorporating the output error difference (over two sample time steps) in the control input. The third approach, model-free adaptive predictive control (MFAPC) with a one-step-ahead forecast of the system input, is obtained by using predictions of the outputs based on the data-based linear model. The experimental device used is an MIMO three-tank system (3TS) assumed to be an interconnected system with multiple coupled single-input, single-output (SISO) subsystems with unmeasurable couplings. The novelty of this contribution is that each coupled SISO partition is assumed to be controlled independently using a decoupled control algorithm, leading to fewer control parameters compared to a centralized MIMO controller. Additionally, both parameter tuning for each controller and performance evaluation are conducted using an evaluation criterion considering energy consumption and accumulated tracking error. The results demonstrate that almost all the proposed model-free controllers effectively control an MIMO system by controlling its SISO subsystems individually. Moreover, the predictive features in the decoupled MFAPC contribute to more accurate tracking of time-varying references. The utilization of tracking error differences helps in reducing energy consumption. Full article
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19 pages, 5209 KiB  
Article
Fault Prediction for Rotating Mechanism of Satellite Based on SSA and Improved Informer
by Qing Lan, Ye Zhu, Baojun Lin, Yizheng Zuo and Yi Lai
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(20), 9412; https://doi.org/10.3390/app14209412 - 15 Oct 2024
Viewed by 366
Abstract
The rotational mechanism, which plays a critical role in energy supply, payload antenna pointing, and attitude stabilization in satellites is essential for the overall functionality and performance stability of the satellite. This paper takes the space turntable of a specific satellite model as [...] Read more.
The rotational mechanism, which plays a critical role in energy supply, payload antenna pointing, and attitude stabilization in satellites is essential for the overall functionality and performance stability of the satellite. This paper takes the space turntable of a specific satellite model as an example, utilizing high-frequency and high-dimensional telemetry data. An improved informer model is used to predict and diagnose features related to the turntable’s operational health, including temperature, rotational speed, and current. In this paper, we present a forecasting method for turntable temperature data using a hybrid model that combines singular spectrum analysis with an enhanced informer model (SSA-Informer), comparing the results with threshold limits to determine if faults occur in the satellite’s rotational mechanism. First, during telemetry data processing, singular spectrum analysis (SSA) is proposed to retain the long-term and oscillatory trends in the original data while filtering out noise from interference. Next, the improved informer model predicts the turntable temperature based on the mapping relationship between the turntable subsystem’s motor current and temperature, with multiple experiments conducted to obtain optimal parameters. Finally, temperature thresholds generated from the prediction results are used to forecast faults in the rotational mechanism over different time periods. The proposed method is compared with current popular time-series prediction models. The experimental results show that the model achieves high prediction accuracy, with reductions of at least 10% in both the MAE and MSE than CNN-LSTM, DA-RNN, TCN-SE and informer, demonstrating the outstanding advantages of the SSA and improved informer-based method in predicting temperature faults in satellite rotational mechanisms. Full article
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24 pages, 5211 KiB  
Article
Sustainable Building Tool by Energy Baseline: Case Study
by Rosaura Castrill�n-Mendoza, Javier M. Rey-Hern�ndez, Larry Castrill�n-Mendoza and Francisco J. Rey-Mart�nez
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(20), 9403; https://doi.org/10.3390/app14209403 - 15 Oct 2024
Viewed by 315
Abstract
This study explores innovative methodologies for estimating the energy baseline (EnBL) of a university classroom building, emphasizing the critical roles of data quality and model selection in achieving accurate energy efficiency assessments. We compare time series models that are suitable for buildings with [...] Read more.
This study explores innovative methodologies for estimating the energy baseline (EnBL) of a university classroom building, emphasizing the critical roles of data quality and model selection in achieving accurate energy efficiency assessments. We compare time series models that are suitable for buildings with limited consumption data with univariate and multivariate regression models that incorporate additional variables, such as weather and occupancy. Furthermore, we investigate the advantages of dynamic simulation using the EnergyPlus engine (V5, USDOE United States) and Design Builder software v7, enabling scenario analysis for various operational conditions. Through a comprehensive case study at the UAO University Campus, we validate our models using daily monitoring data and statistical analysis in RStudio. Our findings reveal that model choice significantly influences energy consumption forecasts, leading to potential overestimations or underestimations of savings. By rigorously assessing statistical validation and error analysis results, we highlight the implications for decarbonization strategies in building design and operation. This research provides a valuable framework for selecting appropriate methodologies for energy baseline estimation, enhancing transparency and reliability in energy performance assessments. These contributions are particularly relevant for optimizing energy use and aligning with regulatory requirements in the pursuit of sustainable building practices. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Energy Efficiency and Thermal Comfort in Buildings)
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